Forex trend: Forex Analysis


This is sage advice as long as you know and can accept that the trend can end. The pair has been cruising inside an ascending channel with its higher lows and higher highs since late February, and it looks like another dip to the bottom is due. Next up is a simple trend correction setup on the hourly chart of USD/JPY. Learn how to trade forex in a fun and easy-to-understand format. Knowing the tools, and learning to use it is critical. As in any other professional career, learning before practicing is the key to success.


  • It can help you define the price’s future movement range and its medium point.
  • To keep our analysis as simple as possible, we create a chart that uses a weekly time frame and uses only two indicators.
  • Another tool you can use is our significative line crossing systems, including crossing averages, MACD cross and over zero signal.

We should keep in mind that due to the human nature of the market, trends don’t always follow a perfectly symmetrical trend line. When trading, we should be flexible and react to the actions of the market. In addition, before making a trade or issuing a signal, they always confirm which side of the trend they are on. Unfortunately, most forex traders don’t draw them correctly or try to make the line fit the market instead of the other way around.

Trend Lines

Step 1 Identify higher highs and higher lows for an uptrend or lower lows and lower highs for a downtrend. The way to determine a higher high is by watching the price. If the price moves above the previous high then that is a higher high, look at the image below to see how it works. Moving average convergence/divergence is a momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security’s price. Conversely, a trader holding a short position might consider taking some profit if the three-day RSI declines to a low level, such as 20 or less. Euro/yen cross with MACD and rate-of-change trend confirmation indicators.

resistance level

In a downtrend, the trend line is drawn along the top of easily identifiable resistance areas . Meanwhile, Stochastic has a lot of ground to cover before reaching the overbought zone to signal exhaustion among bulls. The 100 SMA is above the 200 SMA to confirm that the uptrend is more likely to resume than to reverse, although the gap is narrowing to reflect slowing upside momentum.

News flow

In the case of the illustrations above, that demand is drying up more quickly with each subsequent rally from trend line support. Thus, we get a market that begins spending more time trying to keep its head above water than making higher highs. More specifically, the relationship the highs and lows have with our key level. The Zig Zag indicator lowers the impact of random price fluctuations and is used to identify price trends and changes in price trends.

Another tool you can use is our significative line crossing systems, including crossing averages, MACD cross and over zero signal. Such as the indicators that detect patterns in Japanese Candlesticks , the correct selection of your parameters are vital to avoid to be guided in your decisions by misleading signals. Map out the magnitude of price moves with Retracements and Arcs. These tools let you draw studies about the possible developments of a price based on its previous move. It can be calculated following different mathematical concepts (Fibonacci, Gann…).

Gapping occurs when a stock, or another trading instrument, opens above or below the previous day’s close with no trading activity in between. Of course, the difficult questions to answer are whether a trend exists at all or just a sideways-trading range and where and when a trend will start and where and when it will end. On the other hand, in the case of the Canadian dollar against the U.S. dollar, the U.S. dollar is the base currency while the Canadian dollar is the quote currency. Thus the chart shows the U.S. dollar sloping downward as it weakened against the Canadian dollar.

For that, we need the highs and lows to interact with a key level in a way that offers a favorable setup. In other words, we need to turn the price action you see in the chart above into actionable information. The GBPUSD daily chart below is a perfect example of how something as simple as watching how the highs and lows of a market interact with each other can signal a change in trend. Enter and Let Run – This strategy is for the most conservative traders who don’t like to risk much or take risks very often. As the name indicates, it consists of placing a trade after identifying the trend and letting it run its course.

The majority of other information websites display prices of a single source, most of the time from one retail broker-dealer. Find out which account type suits your trading style and create account in under 5 minutes. Forex, or the Foreign Exchange Market, is a global marketplace for exchanging national currencies for the purposes of foreign trade, business and travel. The Forex Trading Market is conducted electronically via computer networks around the world and provides liquidity and speed for the casual investor all the way up to large corporations. As I often say, your job as a trader is not to know what will happen next. The breakdown you see in the chart above was the starting point of the massive 3,300-pip drop that transpired over the next 44 weeks.

Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar XAUUSD

The Forex Market Map provide a quick visual view of the foreign exchange markets and how they are performing on the day, as well as how they are performing versus other major currencies. The #FXpoll is not to be taken as signal or as final target, but as an exchange rates heat map of where sentiment and expectations are going. Gold price started the week on a bullish note and continued to push higher on hopes of an improving demand outlook. Despite rising US Treasury bond yields, XAU/USD climbed above $1,840 on Friday and snapped a four-week losing streak. FOMC Chairman Jerome Powell’s two-day testimony and the February jobs report from the US will drive the precious metal’s action next week. Spot gold remains above the 100 and 200-day MAs despite yesterday’s selloff.

When the current smoothed stress test: reflections on financial crises by timothy f. geithner is above its own moving average, then the histogram at the bottom of the chart below is positive and an uptrend is confirmed. On the flip side, when the current smoothed average is below its moving average, then the histogram at the bottom of the figure below is negative and a downtrend is confirmed. Here are four different market indicators that most successful forex traders rely upon. Each time the RSI reaches an extreme at the 90-plot guide, it provides a sell opportunity while the trend is downward and prices are below the channel. Each time the RSI reaches the 90-plot guide, the price has also moved back to the channel providing a new opportunity to sell in the direction of the trend. In the chart below, the Canadian dollar strengthened against the U.S. dollar during the period 2009 to 2011.

As the chart shows, this combination does a good job of identifying the major trend of the market—at least most of the time. However, no matter what moving-average combination you choose to use, there will be whipsaws. The truth is, there is no one way to trade the forex markets. As a result, traders must learn that there are a variety of indicators that can help to determine the best time to buy or sell a forex cross rate.


Wednesday’s better-than-expected U.S. reports on Feb ADP… The pause in the US Dollar recovery momentum provided the much-needed respite to the Pound Sterling bulls in the past week. The GBP/USD pair also cheered the Brexit deal announcement amid a week dominated by economic data from the United States. In just one click, you can export and save images (.png) of your graphs (with all your indicators, lines, drawings,…) for later analysis and review. Search for the “PNG” icon.How to export images of your plot. You can add up to 70 technical indicators to your graph, as Linear Regression, CCI, ADX and many more.How to select technical indicators.


The best way to identify trends, in my experience, is to use simple price action. Higher highs and higher lows signal an uptrend, while lower highs and lower lows represent a downtrend. Adding Up – This strategy is for traders who want to take full advantage of the trend and milk every pip out of it. Enter a trade after identifying a trend, long in this case, and keep adding to that position on every retrace on the shorter timeframe charts. This is an extremely profitable strategy but you should be very cautious the higher it goes. Due to the number of positions on the higher end, your profit can erode very quickly on a reversal and you might even end up with a loss.

GBP/USD: 1.1650 certainly looks like the direction of travel – ING

We advise you to carefully consider whether trading is appropriate for you based on your personal circumstances. We recommend that you seek independent advice and ensure you fully understand the risks involved before trading. Margin trading involves a high level of risk and is not suitable for all investors. Forex and CFDs are highly leveraged products, which means both gains and losses are magnified. You should only trade in these products if you fully understand the risks involved and can afford to incur losses that will not adversely affect your lifestyle. Access our latest analysis and market news and stay ahead of the markets when it comes to trading.

The image below is the same trade zoomed up to give you a better view. The image shows an example of an uptrend as identified as the green lines showing resistance areas that initially get broken to the upside continuing the trend in the current direction. The Xe Rate Alerts will let you know when the rate you need is triggered on your selected currency pairs. Technical indicators are mathematical calculations based on the price, volume, or open interest of a security or contract. The foreign exchange, or Forex, is a decentralized marketplace for the trading of the world’s currencies.


On the GBP/ weekly chart below, we can see the price being rejected at the previous lows. However, we can’t place a long trade as we are unsure whether a real trend is forming. The confirmation of a new valid trend comes after the break and close of the long black line which is a previous long-term support.

NZD/USD: Powell Turns Forex Market Cold Creating Slide Down –

NZD/USD: Powell Turns Forex Market Cold Creating Slide Down.

Posted: Wed, 08 Mar 2023 09:25:20 GMT [source]

Note how the market tested this level as support on four separate occasions since its inception. What many traders tend to dismiss, however, is the shorter time span between each retest as the trend extended higher. There is a common misconception among traders in all markets where technical analysis is a traditional method of trading.

With this convenient tool you can review market history and analyse rate trends for any currency pair. All charts are interactive, use mid-market rates, and are available for up to a 10-year time period. To see a currency chart, select your two currencies, choose a time frame, and click to view.

Like horizontal support and resistance levels, trend lines become stronger the more times they are tested. The second arrow indicates where a new short position could have been successfully taken once the price had traded back to the down sloping moving average. In August 2008, the short-term moving average on the chart below turned down, indicating a potential change in trend although the long-term average had not yet done so. There are several indicators key to trade the forex market, and all of them are a great tool for the trader to forecast where the price can go next.

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